Skip to the content

Cheque Book-1

Warning sign for bonds as fund managers call for more corporate spending

By Daniel Grote | 10:57:20 | 19 November 2009

Citywire scours the web for the best writing from across the world. Find out What We are Reading here.

Corporate bonds could be due for a setback as fund managers want companies to increase their capital expenditure.

Fund managers are showing an increasing preference for companies to start borrowing and spending again, while the number who want companies to repair their balance sheets is falling.

Nearly two thirds of fund managers want companies to increase capital expenditure according to the latest global survey of 218 investors by BofA Merrill Lynch, up from 11% in March.

Slightly more want to see companies concentrate on repairing their balance sheets - a total of 36% - but the figure is much lower than the 71% recorded in March.

With increasing capital expenditure likely to become the dominant preference among investors, equities could be due a boost, while corporate bonds may see a downturn in performance.

‘The last time we saw a shift towards prioritising cap ex ahead of balance sheet repair was in 2003 and it served as a clear buy signal for equities,’ said Gary Baker, head of European equity strategy at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research.

‘It could signal the transfer of risk from equity to credit,’

When companies are concentrating on repairing their balance sheets and are paying down debt, it improves their ability to service their bond-holders.

1 | 2 |  Total pages: 2

Comments (3)

Trufflehunter

15:40 | 19 Nov 2009

Increasing capital expenditure? With such a tough environment with little likely growth in consumer spending who who would increase capital spending? Export industries with products in demand from the non- western world might benefit from it but I can't envisage many others.

Fund managers better take care encouraging the right companies to do this. I believe ina bit more activism but this may come back and bite them on their rear unless they are very choosy!

My preference to look and see how keen directors are at selling their companies' shares. There has been plenty of that in this bear market rally. They are best placed to know when it's best to increase capital expenditure. Many of the mergers and demergers of the past have been instigated by financiers at no net direct benefit to the real world companies. They have, however, lined their pockets well in the process.

Caveat Emptor!

Mike

18:32 | 19 Nov 2009

Any big names amongst the fund managers looking for companies to increase gearing and leverage? I might just want to sell them.

MartinJ - steady as she goes

19:34 | 19 Nov 2009

Always good to hear Trufflehunters views. Very sensible, steady as she goes is the motto that most should adopt.

Have your say here:

Protected by FormShield