Citywire for Financial Professionals
Stay connected:

Citywire printed articles sponsored by:


View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a446398

Smart Investor: Must you choose between growth and income?

Should growth and income be viewed as mutually exclusive? And how can the smart investor maximise the potential for both in his portfolio?

Smart Investor: Must you choose between growth and income?

Many investors view growth and income as either/or. In other words when investing you can choose to either invest in companies that offer good growth potential, perhaps because their net profit has grown year on year for the past 5 years. Or invest in companies that offer a decent income in the form of a dividend; usually the preserve of established companies that apparently have less scope to grow.

However is it that simple: should growth and income be viewed as mutually exclusive? And how can the smart investor maximise the potential for growth and income in his portfolio?

The first issue to tackle is a definition of the two terms. Income is fairly straightforward; it is paid in the form of a dividend and is expressed as a percentage of the share price. Examples include National Grid and United Utilities. Growth is more difficult to define because it could refer to things such as increased net profit, increased turnover, increased market share, increased net assets or even an increased share price. Examples include Tullow Oil and Admiral Group.

What type of growth?

This poses a number of questions around the topic of growth, most notably what type of growth actually matters? As the old saying goes; revenue is vanity, profit is sanity and cash is reality. In other words a growing revenue and market share is of little use if it is not translated into net asset and profit growth; otherwise it will not increase the intrinsic value of the company.

Of course many readers will instantly respond to the question of mutual exclusivity by stating that income and growth are directly linked to risk; with income being seen as lower risk and growth as higher risk. This is a widely accepted viewpoint and many would argue that it carries some weight in terms of splitting a portfolio into lower and higher risk; income and growth. However this often allows for weaknesses in the companies selected to be overlooked because they offer either a good dividend yield or are growing at an impressive rate.

Instead every investment decision should be based on its growth and income potential combined. That way all aspects of the business are considered at the outset instead of cracks being papered over just because they are income or growth stocks that inherently come with certain weaknesses.

For instance investment should not be made in a company merely because it pays an above average dividend or because its return on equity is sky high. These are positives, but high dividend payers may offer poor returns on equity meaning there is little scope for an increase in intrinsic value. Similarly an increasing return on equity may be a result of high gearing which can cause problems further down the line.

More than just growth... or income

So, how much weight should smart investors give to income and to growth potential when analysing possible additions to their portfolio?

Smart investors should firstly realise that during their long-term investment horizon there will be years when the economy struggles and falls into recession; this is simply a part of the economic cycle. It is during these years that an income is of greatest importance, for it has the endearing quality of helping investors to stay sane when share prices are plummeting.

However as the recent recession showed, dividends are not guaranteed and can be cut or even cancelled at relatively short notice. Therefore attention should be focused on growth and a generous income viewed as a bonus that is nice to have, but is not a prerequisite or standalone reason to invest.

Of course when focusing on growth, the smart investor must be clear that it relates to a growth in the intrinsic value of the company. This does not require a growing return on equity nor significant profit growth, but it does require the purchase to be made when the shares are carrying a minimal amount of goodwill. In other words when net asset value makes up a fair chunk of the share price. That way too high a price will not be paid for shares in a sound business with the potential to grow.

Prepare for the unknown

Furthermore it should be accepted that future performance is unknown and unforeseen events can occur to reduce the profitability of any company, a notable example being BP. Therefore smart investors should not rely on increasing profitability or optimistic forecasts as an indicator of potential future growth. Rather they should focus on allowing themselves a margin of safety when assessing potential future profitability.

Sign in / register to view full article on one page

6 comments so far. Why not have your say?

Dennis .

Nov 05, 2010 at 00:28

There is another issue, namely that it is not essential for a company to grow, what might be more interesting is for my share of that company to grow. In other words reinvesting dividends back into high yielding companies or funds, I have done this by reinvesting in income funds over the years with some success. The need to generate steady dividend and income streams is a good discipline for any fund manager or CEO and introduces sanity rather than vanity into their thinking.

report this

Victor Meldrew

Nov 05, 2010 at 00:59

I hold a few non-life insurers with decent yields. There could be growth in the sector from growth in global insurable assets and increasing third party compensation.

Here's a suggestion for citywire: an article on the insurance sector including a rundown on the important ratios.

report this

Hotrod

Nov 05, 2010 at 16:18

The problem with investing in companies that pay good dividends consistently is "flash traders" who are only interested in creaming off the income stream. i.e. computers which are programmed to buy the stocks cum dividend, and sell immediately after the ex dividend date. The share price often rises and falls disproportionately.

You may think this reasoning cynical, but growth companies play dirty also. i.e. In good times they often negotiate bank loans to fund expansion instead of offering more shares to loyal investors. When things go pear shaped the banks pull the plug and demand their money back. That's when the rights issues get trotted out.

For these reasons I avoid large companies which attract attention and look for young businesses which are less well known.

report this

John Gardiner

Nov 05, 2010 at 18:16

You want growth and income combined just look at BA Tobacco over the past 10 years. That company has done me proud.

report this

snoekie

Nov 05, 2010 at 18:34

Victor, ok, but part of their value is in the market, and if the market sneezes heartily, insurers catch colds, just look at OM & L & G over tha lst year, and off course, to a lesser extent Aviva.

I also consider that we are still deep in the woods, and that htere will be opportunities in the coming months as the market wakes up to the fact that the debt hasn't gone away and more unions start flexing their muscles (with peas for brains).

report this

Victor Meldrew

Nov 07, 2010 at 20:01

snoekie - I briefly held Aviva but now I tend to avoid life insurers. I've read that much life insurance is too much like a commodity with little pricing power, but I haven't researched that much. I don't know anything about OM & L & G. I think it's worth looking into an insurer's assets, and obviously if it holds shares these are vulnerable to a stock market decline.

Thanks for your comment, I probably don't know as much as I should about the sector but I'm happy to hold the insurers I'm in.

report this

leave a comment

Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.

Sorry, this link is not
quite ready yet