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Pursuit Dynamics: could be time for another run with this small cap tech darling

There are few smaller companies creating quite the stir in the City that Pursuit Dynamics is this summer.

There are few smaller companies creating quite the stir in the City that Pursuit Dynamics is this summer.

The people who believe in this company are some of the shrewdest investors in the country but others are more doubtful saying the company has been promising to deliver on its potential for a long time.

This £163 million Hungtingdon-based company, which builds fluid processing systems aiming to cut costs for industries such as brewing, is seeking to make the move from research and development to the commercialisation of its systems. Ultimately it aims to float each of its business lines as standalone companies on the stock market.

Citywire knows at least two senior UK equity fund managers who have been buying the company on their personal accounts in recent weeks and it has also picked up support from some heavy-hitting funds.

On 5 July Mark Lyttleton bought an additional 1.1 million shares to bring his position to 2.46 million shares in the Blackrock UK Absolute Alpha fund, giving him a 3.53% stake in the firm.

The biggest single fund investor though is Thomas Dobell’s M&G Recovery fund. He controls a full 12.2% of the firm and has added some 725,000 shares since April.

Dobell has been backing the stock for years and it is worth noting that other big names also have – and then given up – such as Crispin Odey who held a stake in 2007. Indeed in June of that year Citywire boomed ‘Pursuit Dynamics set to reward the likes of Dobell and Evershed'. At that time shares were trading at £2.20. Now, after a series of fund raisings, it is trading at £2.18. Effectively this shows that it has crawled up to its pre-credit crunch level, more than doubling in price since its low in March 2009, but it has hardly rewarded investors yet.

Its own brokers are valiantly talking the stock up. Cenkos is the more conservative of the two company advisers giving a price target of 500p. It currently stands at 218.5p.

The other adviser, Mirabaud, is less shy putting a price of 762p on it based on cash flow modelling which assumes the company's intellectual property is successfully commercialised.

High hopes then for a company which even its own house brokers do not predict will hit profitability until full year 2012.

Hargreave ignores the hyperbole

Giles Hargreave – probably the most successful UK smaller companies investor of the past fifteen years – has doubled his stake in the past three months to hold 150,000 shares.

Hargreave is not the type to be won over by house brokers or boiler room talk. Equally, he is the first to admit that he is not a 'true believer' in this stock. However, he argues that the fact this company has held up its value, despite not yet reaching profitability, is testament to how convincing its story has been to sophisticated investors.

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3 comments so far. Why not have your say?

GD-C

Aug 16, 2010 at 15:26

No. Why invest in a company who history does not inspire and whose potential does not meet common acclaim. The professionals missed WCC a company I posted on here several times, which went on to achieve an explosive increase in share price over the following 18 months.

Another company under most investors' radar and set to do the same in the next few years, is Russian oil producer EXI. It's production has doubled this year and is set to double again in the next 6 months on the back of an existing string of successful drillings. By 2015 thecompany is forecast to triple its production to 36,000bpd. DYOR

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Hotrod

Aug 16, 2010 at 17:39

I think the Bio-ethanol story has been put on the back burner for now. The cost of the raw material (cerial grains in most cases) has exceeded economic parameters. In view of the shortfall in supplies of grain caused by droughts in Russia, and Australia, most of this years harvest will be diverted to staple food producers, as a first priority anyway.

As regards the feasability of using their technology in breweries, I must admit I do not have the knowledge to comment, except to say that Hook Norton Brewery up in the Cotswolds would not be interested. They are still using the victorian technology that was installed when the brewery was built.

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Denc

Aug 16, 2010 at 18:33

Well thats it then - Hook Norton dont want it then its a sell.

Shepherd Neame do though , they have two and bought the second one after installing the first one. They saved 47% of their energy coast which is tens of thousands of pounds per copper per year for a typical brewery.

"We are looking at nothing short of a potential revolution in cost saving terms for the brewing industry..." Professor Richard Sharpe BRI [Brewing Research institute ] said of the PDX wort heater, which might explain why another small brewery called Heineken is testing the PDX unit.

There are estimated to be 15000 coppers in the world and you can retrofit the PDX unit to virtually all of them possibly even to Hook Nortons.

As for ethanol, thats where the big money is.

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