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Inflation dips but remains above target

Transport costs fall, but price of food rises as inflation dips to 3.1%, above the 2% target.

Transport costs fall, but price of food rises as inflation dips to 3.1%, above the 2% target.

Inflation inched down in July, but remains far above the government target imposed on Bank of England governor Mervyn King.

The annualised 3.1% rise in consumer inflation for July was down on June’s 3.2% increase, but above the 2% target. This means that King will have to write another letter to the government explaining why price rises are above target.

Transport costs were the main factor in the slight drop in inflation, the Office for National Statistics reported, with the price of second-hand cars falling between June and July. Petrol prices also fell.

Conversely, food and non-alcoholic beverage prices added upward pressure on the overall figure.

The same factors also saw the RPI measure of inflation – used for indexation of pensions and state benefits – drop slightly from an annualised 5% to 4.8%

The Bank of England said last week that inflation will stay above the 2% target for longer than it forecast back in May. The Bank's new forecasts showed inflation above target until the end of 2011 but falling after that as 'temporary' factors such as the increase in VAT next year fade.

Inflation in the UK is higher than in the EU as a whole, where consumer inflation was measured at 1.9%.

6 comments so far. Why not have your say?

Jonathan

Aug 17, 2010 at 13:16

Mervyn King must be getting used to writing letters explaining why his predictions were wrong. The BoE underestimates inflation about 90% of the time, they are absolutely rubbish at it.

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Ian

Aug 17, 2010 at 13:27

I am not sure that anyone takes Mervyn King and his forecasts seriously as they are invariably wrong and this casts doubts on his competence.

Why do we have a 2% inflation target? Any level of inflation is bad and the target should be for zero inflation and complete price stability.

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snoekie

Aug 17, 2010 at 15:17

The real point is that Mervn King had little control over inflation, other than rob savers of the interest on their savings by keeping interest rates artificially low benefiting the feckless and the banks, and of course the government, not having to pay full rate for their borrowings, gilts and savings accounts (PO &NS & I) and premium bonds.

The persons responsible Brown/Balls cleaned up on their severance pay and expenses, and one, although re-elected has yet to appear at his place of work. How? Well printing money not backed by assets to pay for the bills they ran up with no money in the kitty.

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Anonymous 1 needed this 'off the record'

Aug 17, 2010 at 15:56

The important figure is 4.8%.The CPI is irrelevant, it’s a bogus concoction, the only purpose of which is to deceive those foolish enough not to understand it.

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AC

Aug 17, 2010 at 23:08

Most economist and pundits including BOE continue to say that deflation is bigger threat than inflation because of amongst other things and "output gap". Some reports today even indicate that BOE is "surprised" that inflation remains so persistent. One does not need fancy survey to know that prices have been rising "fairly consistently" since late 2007, first driven by commodity and oil price surge, then weaker £ and now once again higher food prices. Then, public transport costs continue to rise at rates well above inflation. Ok ..mortgage costs are down but rents don't seem to be declining much. Why then, is BOE surprised that inflation is high.

I agree that large scale deleveraging brings the threat of deflation but commodity and food price driven inflation appears to be a bigger factor at least now. So, one has to ask ..should BOE be hiking interest rates ..if nothing else to protect savers or keep is low to help banks and prevent any threat of deflation, not to mention keep the cost of govt borrowing low. Low interest rates are not really helping the overall economy as spreads are wide and lending seems to have just dried up, especially for small businesses.

BOE seems to have no power. It is interesting to BOE apprears to air its frustration with banks...if BOE can't control inflation and influence banks ...who can??

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allan c

Sep 06, 2010 at 17:55

1) ..the banks are making a massive profits taking us for a ride borrowing low charging high and paying naff all in intrest to the deposit holders.

2) ..the goverment are putting vat and other charges up.. so raising inflation

not to mention fuel that as a matter of course effects delivery costs..and the price of goods leaving the warehouses.

3)..they then ask the bank of england to write a letter explaining why inflation is high.

are they really that stupid then....these educated people..

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