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How a 'gentleman's agreement' is backfiring for Pib investors
Some investments issued by banks and building societies are unexpectedly letting income-seekers down.
Markets
by Lorna Bourke on Feb 03, 2012 at 05:01
Holders of Pibs (Permanent Interest Bearing Shares) and some other bonds issued by banks should have a good look at their portfolio as there has been a significant change in how these bonds are treated which could affect their value.
Pibs are issued by building societies and are widely held by private investors for the income they generate. Many people hold them in their Self-Invested Pension Plans (Sipps) and Individual Savings Accounts (Isas). They pay dividends twice a year at a fixed rate and by holding a variety of bonds investors can generate monthly income. The price you pay to buy these fixed interest stocks is determined to some extent by the level of comparable yields from gilts. When interest rates rise, the price of Pibs tends to fall to reflect the higher yield that investors expect and vice versa.
Gentleman’s agreement
Many Pibs have a ‘call’ date when the issuer can pay out the bond holders at the face value or ‘par’ – 100p in the pound. The issuer is not obliged to exercise the call although in the past there has been a ‘gentleman’s agreement’ that they would be paid off. Effectively, regulators were told that the calls were optional, while investors were encouraged to believe that the calls would definitely be exercised.
However the regulator, keen to ensure the financial stability of banks and building societies, is indicating to the Pibs and bond issuers that it doesn’t want to see these bonds redeemed if it means replacing the capital with more expensive borrowing. Many Pibs have ‘run on’ terms after the call date which replace the fixed rate or coupon on the bond. These run on terms are variable and are often set at a fixed margin above Bank Base Rate (BBR), the yield on five year gilts or Libor, the rate at which banks lend to each other. With BBR at just 0.5% and Libor at around 1.08% this is cheap borrowing for the issuer.
Up until recently Pibs and bonds were largely called and investors were paid out. But last July Principality Building Society set a precedent by failing to call its 5.375% Pibs. These are still due to be finally redeemed in July 2016, in the meantime the coupon runs at three month Libor plus 1.05% - currently only 2.13% and much lower than the 5.375% coupon on the bond.
Prices affected
‘We recently amended the information on our Pibs and Subordinated Bonds list to include Coupon if not Called and Yield if not Called,’ says Rik Edwards of stockbroker Collins Stewart which makes a market in Pibs and other bonds. ‘This was in response to requests for this information from a number of investors, concerned that values and prices of these bonds are likely to be dramatically affected by whether or not the issuers choose to exercise their calls on the due dates. In most cases the cheapest funding option for issuers will be not to exercise the call, but to leave the bonds in place.’
He points out that in November of last year Santander announced a subordinated debt exchange offer on terms which imply that it is unlikely to call affected bonds on their due dates. ‘Santander also stressed that decisions on whether calls would be exercised would be based on economic considerations, regulatory requirements and prevailing market conditions - which again suggests the calls will not be exercised,’ Edwards explains.
Last month Lloyds Banking Group conducted a liability management exercise, the terms of which again suggested they will not call their bonds. They too made a statement reminding investors that the decision was for Lloyds themselves to make on economic grounds.
‘In this climate, it is impossible to know whether or not the calls on Pibs will be exercised. This makes valuation very difficult, especially as the call date approaches, because with a lower ongoing coupon the bond is likely to be worth much less than the 100p call price. Prices and yields to call suggest investors attach little likelihood to the calls being exercised,’ Edwards warns.
Call dates approaching
Some widely held stocks are coming up to their call date – for example, the Nationwide 6.024% has a call date of 6th February 2013. According to Edwards, if these bonds are to be called or paid out at 100p in the pound, a realistic current value would be 98p compared with a current price of around 65p which gives an 8% yield to redemption. But if they are not called, the coupon will reset initially to three month Libor plus 0.5%, currently implying a coupon of 1.58%. ‘Nationwide might find it difficult to explain to its regulator why it should repay the stock at 100p. For the post-call stock to give a respectable yield - say 6% - the price would need to fall to 27p’
No wonder that these stocks become increasingly volatile and difficult to trade as they approach their call dates, and the buffer of fixed coupon payments reduces - in this case the stock could be worth over three and a half times more if called than not.
Clearly the nearer the call date the greater the risk. So investors should look at their portfolio and consider making a switch before the call date becomes an issue and affects the price and yield. Stocks nearing their call date include the Nationwide 6.024% with a call date of 2013, One Savings Bank 7.875% with a call date of 2014, Nationwide 7.971% call 2015, Co-operative Bank 5.5555% also callable in 2015, One Savings Bank 6.591% call 2016, Coventry Building Society 6.092% call 2016, Nationwide 6% call 2016 and Skipton 6.875% with a call date of 2017. If they are not called as expected, to give an ongoing yield of around 6% most will see a significant price fall from their current levels.
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20 comments so far. Why not have your say?
John W
Feb 03, 2012 at 08:51
We're talking here of events in 2015-16 and valuations based on LIBOR in 2012. LIBOR is pretty volatile - around 5-6% in 2006-07 - which, of course, illustrates why these PIB prices will be volatile, too.
Of course, a reset date in 2013 is a serious issue.
report thisGeoffrey Hearn
Feb 03, 2012 at 09:09
At last a sensible article on PIBs. There is no reason for an issuer of these bonds to replace low cost borrowings with much more expensive finance. Gentlemen's agreements ought to carry no weight with investors.
In the present financial climate it is best to stick to the letter of the law. Look at the terms & then decide if it is in the issuers financial interest to repay. In most cases the bonds shoulds be considered irredeemable.
report thisHilary Gowen
Feb 03, 2012 at 09:28
Good 'heads-up' article - should be required reading for all Pibs investors. Adds to the overall risk:
http://www.the-diy-income-investor.com/2011/09/pibs-for-high-returns-but-with-risk-uk.html
report thisNeil Liversidge
Feb 03, 2012 at 09:34
I wondered how long it would be before the penny dropped. This is why I've NOT bought a certain PIBS fund that's been mailing me for ages and why I warned on my Radio Leeds spot last Thursday week that investors should bde careful of PIBS. Yeah... I know I'm a smug git!
report thissteven fieldfare
Feb 03, 2012 at 10:55
Overlooked is why Government allows continued marketing of financial products with misleading terms and Catch 22 clauses.
Fresh from bankers' success in mugging old ladies with misleading accounts termed "Saver" and variation thereof (which are no such thing); and accounts that drop off their interest after one year to be resurrected with equally fanciful new names, the FSA allow this sort of PIBS small print apparently encouraged and exploited by Government.
Neither is re-organising and changing the name of the FSA a proper solution. Bankers and politicians at large have yet to realise the growing anger of the populace that they are supposed to serve. More "expenses" and "investment" practitioners need to be brought to trial and jailed - even if only to encourage the others. Honest and transparent dealing to help citizens create and hold wealth is the way forward for national success, not trying to skim them off by sleight of expression and exercise of monopoly power.
PIBs need to pay off their coupon at due date and re-issue them; or extend them only on similar terms to their issue. The Regulator needs to step in and stop further issues and accounts that "drop out" after a short period. That is fair and honest dealing.
report thisFranco
Feb 03, 2012 at 12:14
At last an informative article on PIBS instead of pensions and unit trust concealed adverising/
I fully support Steven Fieldfare and further add that in respect of terms and conditions documents, all clauses reducing nvestors' rights should be in bold, font size 12 or larger, failing which they become invalid.
report thisGarth Nicholson
Feb 03, 2012 at 14:20
"PIBs need to pay off their coupon at due date and re-issue them; or extend them only on similar terms to their issue."
Do you mean that they should always be called on their first call date - as tended to be the case in the past? If so why? If the prospectus quite clearly states that it is the first call date but if not called reverts to X then that is what the contract says (not what you want it to say). Any prospectus I have read in the past has been quite clear on this point and in the normal body size print used throughout the document.
report thisJohn W
Feb 03, 2012 at 14:37
Garth N - quite so, and "the past is no guide to ..." is inserted into everything!
The reason calling was standard was that LIBOR wasn't low enough. Now that it is low, buyers and holders can hardly complain.
report thisLadysaver
Feb 03, 2012 at 15:29
I haven't bought PIBs for a long time because of their inherent uncertainty. I held some in the 1990s for the income, but sold when they'd served their purpose. I was very clear at the time that they should be thought of as having no clear redemption date, or no redemption date at all (pretty clear from their name: 'permanent' interest-bearing shares!), and not thought of like gilts, where the endgame is much clearer due to a known redemption date. PIBs are inherently riskier than gilts and always have been, although (back in the 1990s at any rate) you got compensated for this with a higher coupon. I wouldn't buy them now.
report thissandy
Feb 03, 2012 at 16:06
Steven Fieldfare,right on the money.
Another example of the "heads we win tails you lose" attitude of elements of the financial services industry.
report thissimon corkswill
Feb 03, 2012 at 17:56
On the other hand for balance it should also point out that there are some PIBs that even now offer some value , eg Prinicipality 7% , call 2020 , re set every five years if not called , currently that would be a yield of 5.4% and that is at a price of 74p , you could pick them up around 64/65 last week meaning just over 6% with five year gilt being on the floor it seems a reasonable investment in a solid society . Judge each case carefully , sure some are poor but others acceptable .
report thisD white
Feb 03, 2012 at 18:01
If the Banks are offered a way to get cheap money (at the expense of the investor) you don't think they they will have any scruples about taking advantage of it.
The regulators should be allowing the call date of the PIB to be extended or re-issued if they want a status quo to be maintained. Not providing a weazle like get out.
report thisMOGO
Feb 03, 2012 at 18:16
Good sensible article, I have a Nationwide PIB 6.25%, must have a good look at this. the first society to renage on it's call date will knock the bottom out of the PIB market
report thisGarth Nicholson
Feb 03, 2012 at 18:18
I really have difficulty in understanding the 'banker bashing' type of opinion being expressed here. The PIBS (and other forms of debt) are issued under a contract (the prospectus). The contract freely entered into by both parties says what it says, not what you might like it to say at some time in the future. It's a public document and easily obtained by a potential buyer. It may be long but it is in pretty clear English. The buyer may have taken a viewpoint that they will always be paid at first call. Now that viewpoint turns out to be wrong. It's really very simple: the issuer of the PIBS is entitled to use the terms of the contract to his best advantage just as you are able to do in buying or selling them in the market. That's the contract law which in the UK AFAIK has not been changed.
If one goes down the route of changing contracts post issuance then that is a very dangerous route. This route has just been taken by the Irish Finance Minister for Irish debt. What price reliance on their integrity now?
report thisKello Rover
Feb 03, 2012 at 18:51
Does this article apply to Bonds, such as RSA 8.5% 2016? I bought this bond TODAY! following an article in The Right Side
report thisGarth Nicholson
Feb 03, 2012 at 19:18
Kello Rover, did you read the prospectus before you bought? Most are downloadable from the London Stock Exchange website.
report thisMike Rutherford
Feb 03, 2012 at 21:30
I agree a useful and interesting piece but has missed a couple of points.
1. I have bought a range of bonds for my mother's portfolio because I need the income to pay care fees. If I have secured the yield I'm seeking then I care not if the mkt price fluctuates just so long as that yield is maintained and the issuer doesn't go bust whilst she's still alive. If that does happen they rank above shares; meanwhile the interest is tax-free in an ISA.
2. If a PIB is paying out 5-6% and can be refinanced at 2-3% (surely quite possible in current market) then why would the issuer not call it in?
report thisLorna Bourke
Feb 08, 2012 at 12:50
Re the refinancing question from Mike Rutherford, although market interest rates are low, the run-on terms of many PIBs and bonds are even lower - sometimes as little as 0.5% above bank base rate. That's why the Pibs or bonds are not 'called'.
report thisMike Rutherford
Feb 08, 2012 at 15:32
Ah-Ha! Not so 'permanent' then.
Thanks for that, Lorna.
report thissimon corkswill
Feb 08, 2012 at 16:52
The re-set terms vary a lot , as in the example I gave above with the Principality 7% , these re-set every five years at roughly 3% above five year gilt , so with that rate being at its lowest ever , even that means a decent return at the current price , quite un-usual to have a really low re-set rate , but they certainly do exist .
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