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Dawn Chorus: Stock markets focus on economic data after a dull week

Investors await reports on the US housing market, durable goods and the preliminary reading of GDP for further cue.

Dawn Chorus: Stock markets focus on economic data after a dull week

US stocks fell last week on persistent concerns the recovery has tapered off, and are in danger of declining further due to worries about economic data.

With 97% of S&P 500 companies having already reported quarterly earnings, as per Thomson Reuters, the focus now will be on economic figures, including reports on the housing market, durable goods and the preliminary reading of gross domestic product.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect a revision in US GDP growth for the second quarter to 1.4%, the slowest pace in a year, from an initial estimate of 2.4%.

New monthly home sales fell close to the historical low in May and they are set to decline in July after a marginal rebound in June.

Last week, the Dow Jones fell 0.9%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.7% but the Nasdaq added 0.3%.

European indices are also expected to take cue from a series of economic figures to be released this week. The German purchasing managers’ indices are expected by HSBC to remain at relatively high levels. The PMIs for the eurozone are likely to remain largely stable for both the manufacturing and service sectors.

On Friday, European shares declined to their lowest level in a month, below a key resistance level, as concerns about global economic growth weighed on sentiment.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index of top shares ended down 0.7% at 1,030 points, while the Euro STOXX 50 was down 1.2% at 2,644 points.

In Asia, further disappointing news is expected for Japan after China overtook it as the world’s second-largest economy in the second quarter of this year.

Japanese consumer prices have been declining since the start of last year and they are expected to fall further last month. The country’s trade balance surplus is also likely to fall due to a surge in imports that is likely to outweigh its exports.

The benchmark Nikkei fell 2% on Friday and was down 0.8% on the week, for a second straight negative week.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index ended the previous week 0.4%, while China's key stock index ended down 1.7% on Friday but still up 1.4% for the week.

1 comment so far. Why not have your say?

William Phillips

Aug 23, 2010 at 10:17

A few weeks ago the conventional-wisdom chorus was carolling that QE had worked. There would be no double dip. Obama and China between them had cracked it.

Now we hear that there may be a double-dip, but a nice, quick, shallow one followed by a slow but steady and long expansion-- the equivalent for economists of the course estate agents always predict for house prices. Boom, but not too much of it; mustn't frighten the punters into paralysis, eh?

I continue to think that deleveraging has barely begun, that bullets have not been bitten by polticiand or their voters, that we have heard a load of tough talk and seen little action on either side of the Atlantic, that there are a lot more toxic nasties to be 'fessed up, and that equity buyers-- other than for safeish income-- should be very, very careful.

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