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Cocoa trade will leave bitter taste in the mouth of chocoholics

The Armajaro hedge fund snapped up 241,000 tons of cocoa beans in the biggest single trade in 14 years, which could force up the price of chocolate

Cocoa trade will leave bitter taste in the mouth of chocoholics

The Armajaro hedge fund has bought 241,000 tonnes of cocoa beans in a move which could force manufacturers to increase the prices of chocolate bars.

The transaction, carried out late on Friday was the biggest single cocoa trade in 14 years, equivalent to 7% of world supply and means Armajaro now has enough to make 1.3 billion one pound slabs of chocolate.

The hedge fund is co-headed by Anthony Ward, the former chairman of the European Cocoa Association, who has previously made big bets on the commodity.

In 2002, he is understood to have made a £40 million profit after buying 204,000 tonnes of cocoa when West Africa was facing a bad harvest and political instability. The price then moved up from £1,400 a tonne to £1,600.

His most recent trade reflects concerns about this year’s cocoa yield, which is expected to be weak following heavier than expected rains in Ivory Coast and Ghana. Cocoa prices have more than doubled since 2007, in part driven by growing demand from India and China.

Cocoa prices rose 0.7% up to £2,732, the highest price since 1977.

Ward may be the scourge of chocoholics, but warehouse owners will at least be licking their lips. 

6 comments so far. Why not have your say?

Catterbutts

Jul 19, 2010 at 13:00

I understood from comments on a Radio 4 interview that cocoa contributes < 5% to the cost of a consumer bar of 'Chocolate'?

Seems unlikely that even a doubling of raw material costs will in itself be a major factor in the price on supermarket shelves.

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Mr Chips

Jul 19, 2010 at 13:59

I've never heard of Armajaro before but a quick search on the internet produced the following ...

http://www.international-adviser.com/article/armajaro-launches-commodity-hedge-fund

To quote the article, "Armajaro Asset Management is launching its fourth Cayman Island-domiciled commodity hedge fund for the institutional offshore market.".

Presumably, being domiciled in the Cayman Islands avoids paying domestic taxes. Assuming the price of cocoa rises, then the profit from this trade will come from the real economy and the domestic industries that consume cocoa as a raw material. The issue I have is that this profit is not then taxed domestically? In effect, money has been taken out of the real economy?

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Gristybeasty

Jul 19, 2010 at 16:22

Well I worked in West Africa for 30 years first growing cocoa in theCameroon then later overseeing 2.6 million acers of small holder cocoa base in Ghana and also monitored the cocoa growing areas in Cote d'Ivoire,Nigeria and Togo.

I know, or did know Anthony Ward very well, I will never forget his first trip out to W.Africa having been sent there by his father ( then owner of trading company, Cocoa Merchants) to have a look for the first time at a cocoa tree! Well, to cut a long story short, on returning to Accra from his first up-country trek he stopped on the hills just North of Accra and saw huge black rain clouds over Ashanti (then one of the major cocoa growing regions) phoned his father back in London and said buy, buy, buy the cocoa crop will suffer this year because of Black Pod (a fungal disease of the cocoa pod) and the crop will be well below that estimated! Being a novice to the agricultural side of cocoa, he was actually talking throufgh his hat. Anyway Dad took this on board and bought thousands of tonnes of cocoa on the Futures market.Of course the price of cocoa beans rocketed up and Cocoa Merchants and young Anthony Ward made lots and lots of de money!

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Dr Jimbo

Jul 19, 2010 at 22:43

People have always made money from betting on shortages - but this adds not a penny to the real economy or benefits the population at large. Its just a greed thing. Turner was right to condemn the city attitude as self-serving and destructive.

Just ask a cancer consultant how keen is is on the price of cocoa!

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Franco

Jul 20, 2010 at 01:25

Disgusting greed. Cornering the market and making obcene profits while African growers and chocolate factory workers work their hands to the one. for a pittance. Long live unfettered capitalism.

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Franco

Jul 20, 2010 at 01:26

Disgusting greed. Cornering the market and making obcene profits while African growers and chocolate factory workers work their hands to the one. for a pittance. Long live unfettered capitalism.

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